Thursday, January 29, 2026

How is Iraq now governed?

With all the interest in Mideast government, politics and military significance I have wondered for some time why Iraq is rarely mentioned. America spent tons of lives and money waging war there, including that famous Green zone, the US military compound, one of the most heavily protected places anywhere. But over time for reasons never discussed, Iraq seems to have faded into obscurity. Why is that?

When I asked AI about that this is what I found...

Iraq
 is governed as a 
federal parliamentary representative democratic republic under a constitution ratified in 2005. The system is characterized by a power-sharing arrangement among the country's major ethnic and religious groups. 
Government Structure
  • Legislative Branch: The Council of Representatives is the primary legislative body, consisting of 329 members elected every four years. A second chamber, the Federation Council, is constitutionally mandated but has not yet been fully established.
  • Executive Branch:
    • President: Serves as the Head of State and is elected by a two-thirds majority of parliament. The role is largely ceremonial but symbolizes the sovereignty and unity of the state.
    • Prime Minister: The Head of Government and Commander-in-Chief. The President tasks the nominee from the largest parliamentary bloc to form a cabinet, which must then receive a vote of confidence from parliament.
  • Judicial Branch: An independent branch comprising the Higher Judicial Council, the Federal Supreme Court, and the Court of Cassation. 
Informal Power-Sharing (Muhasasa)
Since 2003, Iraq has followed an informal "muhasasa" system to ensure representation and prevent conflict: 
  • Prime Minister: Always a Shia Muslim.
  • President: Always a Kurd.
  • Speaker of Parliament: Always a Sunni Muslim. 
Regional and Local Governance
  • Federalism: Iraq is divided into 19 governorates. The Kurdistan Region is the only semi-autonomous region recognized under the constitution, with its own parliament, president, and security forces (Peshmerga).
  • Local Administration: Governorates have broad autonomy, though recent years have seen increased central government efforts to manage regional resources, particularly oil. 
Current Political Context (January 2026)
Following the November 2025 elections, Iraq is currently in a government formation phase. While Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s coalition won the most seats (46), he faces challenges for a second term from the Shia Coordination Framework, which includes factions pushing for other candidates, such as former PM Nouri al-Maliki. Until a new government is approved, the outgoing administration continues in a caretaker capacity
      When I asked what "Muhasasa" means this is what came back...
The muhasasa (Arabic for "apportionment" or "quotas") is an informal power-sharing system in Iraq that distributes political offices and state resources based on ethnic and sectarian identity. 
Introduced following the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, it was intended to ensure proportional representation for Iraq's main groups—Shia Arabs, Sunni Arabs, and Kurds—to prevent any single group from dominating the others as had occurred under Saddam Hussein. 
Key Features of the System
  • Ethno-Sectarian Division of Top Offices: By unwritten convention, the country's three highest leadership roles are always allocated as follows:
    • Prime Minister: A Shia Muslim.
    • President: A Kurd.
    • Speaker of Parliament: A Sunni Muslim.
  • Points-Based Distribution: Parties earn "points" based on their performance in parliamentary elections. These points are then used as political capital to "buy" or negotiate for control of specific government ministries and thousands of senior civil service positions, known as "special grades".
  • Vertical Patronage: Each party typically treats the ministries it controls as "spoils" of war. They use ministry budgets and payrolls to hire loyalists and provide jobs for their own sectarian or party constituents, rather than appointing individuals based on merit. 
Criticisms and Impact
While originally designed to foster stability, the muhasasa system is now widely blamed by the Iraqi public for the country's most persistent issues: 
  • Systemic Corruption: Because ministries are divided among competing parties, there is little centralized accountability. Parties often collude to protect each other from corruption investigations to maintain the overall system.
  • Institutional Weakness: The focus on sectarian quotas over professional qualifications has led to a bloated and inefficient civil service, often staffed by "ghost workers" who receive salaries without actually performing duties.
  • Public Alienation: Massive protest movements, such as the Tishreen Movement in 2019, have explicitly called for the abolition of the muhasasa in favor of a "state of citizens" (mawatana) based on national identity rather than sect.
Something about that reminded me of something I read some time ago about how Lebanon was structured. This was in my notes soon after I began blogging about twenty years ago.

My own interest in the politics of the region began nearly a year and a half ago when I came across the word consociational in a post about Lebanon. I thought it was a typo, but learned upon investigation that it is descriptive of a hybrid strain of representative democracy which institutionalizes the interests of selected minority interests in the form of protected parliamentary seats. It seems to be a built-in safeguard against tyranny of the majority, but at the same time places a kind of cog in the gears that can hamper progress. I'm not a political scientist, but my instinct is that consociationalism is similar to the old county-unit system of the South which allowed rural interests to dominate rural interests in state legislatures until the "one man, one vote" principle was finally implemented by the courts.

This is all I care to write about Iraq this morning because I need to better formulate my thinking before going on.
I can't help comparing the governments of Lebanon and Iraq, wondering if both might be post-colonial divide-and-conquer models for how powerful countries control minority populations in other countries until over time they are subsumed into concentrations of power, thereby subjugating recalcitrant minorities into submission. 
That appears to be what is happening in Syria.
And all of these places -- Lebanon, Iraq and now Syria -- are case studies in how Israel has grown into a huge country beginning with a very small piece of acreage at the Mediterranean end of Palestine.

 

 



Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Cuba is once again in the News

 Cuba is in the news following America's intervention in Venezuela.

The Mariel boatlift was a massive, six-month exodus of approximately 125,000 Cuban refugees to the United States between April 15 and October 31, 1980. It fundamentally reshaped the demographics of South Florida and remains a landmark event in U.S. immigration history. 
Crisis” in Context: What the Mariel Boatlift Can Teach Us ...
The Mariel Boatlift: Immigration's Impact on Local Workers
Uprooted' Ep. 4: The Mariel Boatlift - WPR
Origins and Causes
  • The Peruvian Embassy Crisis: On April 1, 1980, six Cubans crashed a bus through the gates of the Peruvian Embassy in Havana to seek asylum. When Fidel Castro withdrew guards from the embassy, over 10,000 people flooded the grounds within days.
  • Castro's Proclamation: To quell the unrest, Castro announced on April 20 that any Cuban wishing to leave could do so through the Port of Mariel, provided they had relatives in the U.S. to pick them up.
  • Economic Strain: The move was largely a reaction to a stagnant Cuban economy, housing shortages, and growing internal dissent. 
The Flotilla and Arrival
  • The "Freedom Flotilla": Cuban Americans in Miami and Key West chartered or used their own private vessels—roughly 1,700 boats in total—to retrieve relatives.
  • Forced Passengers: Castro took advantage of the situation by forcing boat captains to also take "undesirables" from prisons and mental health facilities, although the vast majority of "Marielitos" (as the refugees were called) were ordinary citizens seeking a better life.
  • Overwhelming Scale: The sudden influx of 125,000 Cubans, alongside nearly 25,000 Haitian refugees, overwhelmed the U.S. Coast Guard and resettlement facilities. 
Key Impacts and Legacy
  • Political Consequences: The crisis severely strained President Jimmy Carter's administration, contributing to his 1980 election defeat.
  • Economic Debate: Initial reports suggested a negative impact on the Miami labor market, but a famous 1990 study by economist David Card concluded that the city absorbed the workers with little long-term effect on native wages.
  • Cultural Representation: The boatlift is famously depicted in the 1983 film Scarface, which focuses on the "criminal element" narrative, though researchers found only about 2-4% of the refugees had serious criminal backgrounds.
  • Legal Status: Most Marielitos eventually obtained permanent residency under the Cuban Adjustment Act of 1966.